The Productivity Commission raises questions on what kind of work you might be doing – or think you might do – and presents 4 scenarios following feedback on its latest research.
Those 4 scenarios:
- More tech, more jobs
- More tech, fewer jobs
- Steady as.
The commission’s principal advisor, Dave Heatley, looked at the differing views in the submissions, produced the 4 scenarios and made these comments:
“3 of the 4 scenarios are similar in that they accept a future of continuing improvement through the advances of new ideas.
“The scenario that stands out, stagnation, presents a future in which technology adoption slows, with less job churn and less change in the nature of work.
“I suspect that ‘stagnation’ would be a polite term for racing backwards, because the consequences of not keeping up with the rest of the world would be that New Zealand would become uncompetitive, we wouldn’t afford to buy from other countries and wouldn’t have the products they want to buy, we would own less of our country as wealthier foreigners acquired assets for their leisure.”
The commission says it will release a series of reports from August to Novemberfor public feedback.
Submissions: InternetNZ, Victoria MacLennan, Public Service Association, Chartered Accountants ANZ, Geoff & Esther Meadows
Dave Heatley’s post: Scenarios and choosing a future
Attribution: Productivity Commission.