New Zealand’s – and Auckland’s – net migrant inflows continued to slide in June as more migrants left the country.
Statistics NZ (which now refers to itself as Stats NZ) also issued a new tool for graphing its statistics (below), and said the first results should appear in late August from its new outcomes method of counting migrants.
For the year to June, the net inflow was 64,995 (72,305 for the previous 12 months; peak was 72,402 in the 12 months to last July). That’s down 7310 (10.1%) from the previous 12 months, and down 10.2% from the peak year to July 2017.
Arrivals for the year slipped by 1819 (1.4%) to 129,536 (131,355), while departures rose 9.3% to 64,541 (59,050).
The net flow of NZ citizens was, as usual, outward. For the month, the net outflow was 895 (511 last June), and for the year 1770 (1284).
Non-citizen exits jumped by over 5300 in the last 12 months and arrivals fell by 1500 for a net non-citizen inflow of 66,765.
Holders of student visas fell by 431 for the year to 23,552 (23,983) and the combined inflow of NZ & Australian citizens hardly moved, down by just 5 to 38,451.
The bald statistics:
Net migrant inflow June: 2765 (4013 in June last year)
Net migrant inflow June year: 64,995 (72,305 for the previous 12 months; peak was 72,402 in the 12 months to last July)
Migrants into Auckland in June: 3703 (4055)
Migrants into Auckland in June year: 57,889 (59,076)
Net Auckland inflow in June: 1580 (2106)
Net Auckland inflow in June year: 33,169 (36,650)
Net outflow to Australia in June: 453 (169)
Net outflow to Australia in June year: 831 outflow (560 inflow).
New online tool
Statistics NZ has produced a new online tool for tourism & migration figures, as used in the second graph above. It’s called the tourism & migration data visualiser.
Estimating migration – classifying border crossings with incomplete travel histories
Statistics NZ (which now refers to itself as Stats NZ) also said today it would soon use an outcomes-based measure to formally measure migration: “An outcomes-based measure is more accurate than the current intentions-based measure (see Outcomes versus intentions: Measuring migration based on travel histories). However, the outcomes-based measure requires 16 months of complete border-crossing information, resulting in a 17-month lag before final estimates can be released.
“Stats NZ is working towards producing a provisional measure of migration that will ensure a timelier statistic.
“Results from work so far show that most border crossings can be classified before 16 months are up. The remaining records can be classified (to short-term visitor, short-term NZ resident traveller, or long-term migrant) based on other variables such as age, sex, visa type & citizenship. This estimation has the potential to change, so provisional data will be published with uncertainty intervals, and will be subject to revision as the outcomes of travellers become more certain.
“First results of the provisional estimation are expected to be published from late August.”
Attribution: Stats NZ tables & release.