Statistics NZ has provisionally estimated the net migrant inflow for the 12 months to April at 55,834 (± 1,600).
Statistics NZ’s monthly migration figures, out today, show a rise in net immigration in March compared to March last year – 4468 (3396) – and an annual net inflow of 56,137 (50,628).
Statistics NZ’s estimate of the net inflow of migrants has risen 35% – 15,000 more immigrants – from its first count for the 12 months to November through to its rolling 12-month count to January.
Statistics NZ has created a highly confusing, and moving, picture of migration with its new formula, which became the official formula last month. But the long & short of it is that emigration has risen sharply and immigration continues to decline.
Statistics NZ expects New Zealand’s resident population to reach 5 million late this year or in 2020, based on recent trends, after hitting 4.9 million at the end of September.
If you mix 2 different methods of measuring migration – and even you use only the new measure – New Zealand suffered an extreme decline in its population gain in November. Statistics NZ’s calculations for that month, out today, are the first where it measures everything by the outcomes-based measure, which fully replaces the intentions-based method.